class: center, middle, inverse, title-slide .title[ # Ch 29. The Monetary System ] .subtitle[ ## Macroeconomics for Students of Accounting, Finance and Digital Applications ] .author[ ### Lyuben Ivanov, PhD; Georgy Ganev, PhD ] .institute[ ### Sofia University St Kliment Ohridski ] .date[ ### Apr 25, 2024 ] --- class: clear, middle <style type="text/css"> .title-slide { <!-- background-color: white; --> <!-- border-top: 80px solid white; --> } .remark-slide-content { <!-- background-color: white; --> font-size: 26px; } .remark-slide-number { display: none; } table.none { border-style: none; border-collapse: collapse; } table, td, th { border: none; background-color: #FAFAFA; padding-left: 15px; padding-right: 15px; padding-top: 5px; padding-bottom: 5px; } table { width: 92%; } td { height: 50px; vertical-align: top; } .indent { float: right; width: 90%; } </style> .pull-right[ _Everybody knows what money is, and even economists can define it in a page or two..._ <hr style="background-color: black; margin: 0em 0em 0em 0em;"> <span style="float: right; font-variant: small-caps; ">anonymous author </span> ] --- class: clear, middle .font200[ <strong>What Is Money?</strong> ] <hr> --- # Definition of Money <br> <table class="none"> <tr> <td style="text-align: center; vertical-align: middle;"><b>money</b></td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td>Money is everything which is generally accepted by economic agents as a means for payment or for settling debts.</td> </tr> </table> -- <br> Essential characteristics of money: - They service the process of exchange – money exists only where value is transferred; - They are accepted by economic agents in exchange for goods and services. --- # Functions of Money **Medium of exchange**<br> this function allows economic agents to expand considerably the space of possible exchange and avoid the limitations of barter. -- **Unit of account**<br> money becomes the unit in which all prices are expressed. This makes them much easier to compart and also makes them calculable, which is a crucial requirement for economic decision-making. -- **Store of value**<br> a means for transferring value through time. Here money have a competition due to other possibilities available to economic agents – physical inventories, real estate, valuables, precious metals… --- # Properties of Money <br> General acceptance. -- Easily establishable value. -- Durability. -- Divisibility. -- Transferability. --- class: clear, middle .pull-right[ _If you let me talk about the history of money you will wake up after 3 weeks... and I will be just getting started..._ <hr style="background-color: black; margin: 0em 0em 0em 0em;"> <span style="float: right; font-variant: small-caps; ">Georgy Ganev </span> ] --- # Historical Development of Money <br> **Full-value money** - Commodity money (stones, cattle, shells, polished stones, precious stones, metals, precious metals); - Gradually some quantities of metal are processed so that metal pieces serve exclusively as money and gradually acquire the attributes of coins – with their value (weight) specifically marked. --- # Historical Development of Money <br> <table class="none"> <tr> <td style="text-align: center; vertical-align: middle;"><b>fiat money</b></td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td>Money by decree, whose production costs are much lower than the value marked on them, which they represent.</td> </tr> </table> Initially this happens through debasement of coins, later through simple printing on less valuable material such as paper – banknotes. Gradually payments start happening without a physical (material) carrier of value – non-cash payments, which involve a complicated system of registers and guarantees that value is indeed transferred, i.e. that it belongs to the receiver of the payment (bank transfers; electronic money). --- # Money Supply in Bulgaria (2022) <br> <img src="bulgaria_money_supply_2022.png" width="80%" height="80%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- class: clear, middle .font200[ <strong>The Monetary System</strong> ] <hr> --- # Why Do Banks Exist? <br> <br> Banks exist because they specialize (and are more productive than other economic agents) in: - Providing liquidity; - Managing risk; - Gathering, processing and transmitting information. --- # Assets and Liabilities of Banks <br> **Liabilities**<br> the promises given by banks to savers, involving obligations by banks to provide some benefits in the future. -- **Own capital**<br> a specific type of liability, namely towards the owners of the bank. -- **Assets**<br> the obligations of others (mostly borrowers) towards the bank for some future benefit, or for observance of the banks’ property rights. --- # Bank Assets and Liabilities in Bulgaria <br> <table class="none"> <tr> <td style="text-align: center; border-bottom: solid;" width="250px" colspan="2">ASSETS </td> <td style="text-align: center; border-bottom: solid;" width="250px" colspan="2">LIABILITIES </td> </tr> <tr> <td > Bank reserves </td> <td style="text-align: right; border-right: solid; padding-right: 15px;"> 32,428</td> <td> Deposits </td> <td style="text-align: right;"> 134,079</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Securities </td> <td style="text-align: right; border-right: solid;"> 24,452</td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> Credits </td> <td style="text-align: right; border-right: solid;"> 92,666</td> <td> Other </td> <td style="text-align: right;"> 4,045 </td> </tr> <tr> <td> Other </td> <td style="text-align: right; border-right: solid;"> 5,859</td> <td> Capital </td> <td style="text-align: right;"> 17,281 </td> </tr> <tr > <td> </td> <td style="text-align: right; border-right: solid;"> </td> <td> </td> <td> </tr> <tr> <td> Total </td> <td style="text-align: right; border-right: solid;"> 155,406</td> <td> Total </td> <td style="text-align: right;"> 155,406 </td> </table> <span style="float: right;">**Source**: Bulgarian National Bank, end of 2022, thousands of BGN.</span> --- class: clear, middle .font200[ <strong>Components of Bank Liabilities</strong> ] <hr> --- # Non-own Liabilities <br> **Deposits** - promises to accept free funds, to pay interest on their balances and to provide full access to these funds to the saver - can have immediate access and delayed access - the saver can always fully withdraw, even if the deposit has delayed access, delayed access deposits may involve a slight penalty -- <br> **Attracted funds** - loans from other agents, most often other banks, in various forms - most common forms: interbank deposits and repo transactions --- # Own Capital <br> Own capital are the funds provided to the bank by its owners. It consists of two main components: shareholding capital and retained earnings. -- **Shareholding capital** The sum actually paid-in by shareholders after primary purchase of stock. -- **Retained earnings** Profit from previous periods not distributed to the owners as dividend, which remains with the bank, also belongs to the owners. --- class: clear, middle .font200[ <strong>Components of Bank Assets</strong> ] <hr> --- # Reserves The bank reserves are the sum of highly liquid assets of the bank, with which the bank can execute payments when necessary. -- Reserves consist of two components: cash in the bank vaults and deposits with the central bank. -- **Minimal required reserves** The funds, calculated as a percent of all attracted deposits, which the bank is obliged under law to keep at all times as reserves. **Excess reserves** The funds which the bank chooses to keep as reserves in excess of the minimal requirement. --- # Credits **Business loans** Given to firms to service their activities and implement projects. Can be related to servicing the firm’s payments, or to finance investment projects. **Mortgage loans** Given to firms or households to acquire real estate, with the real estate serving as collateral for the loan. **Consumer loans** Given to households to enable them to meet consumer expenditures, which then are gradually paid off from the future incomes of the household. --- # .font90[Claims on Other Financial Intermediaries] <br> Mostly these are funds lent on the interbank market. They can be also due to the purchase by the bank of a specific product or service of another bank. Although not as liquid, they can be turned into reserves very quickly and cheaply. --- # Tradable Securities and Other Assets **Tradable Securities** They are a part of the investment portfolio of the bank. In Bulgaria this is most often a portfolio of government securities. -- **Other Assets** Mostly long-term material assets, or receivables in process, or collateral property acquired on non-performing loans. --- # Bank Net Value of Assets = Own Capital <br> `$$\sf \text{Net Value} = \text{Assets} - \text{Non-own Liabilities}$$` A change in the market value of assets (and sometimes of some liabilities), when accounted for, turns into profit or loss. Profit is paid as dividend or increases own capital; loss decreases own capital. If a bank permits the market value of its assets to fall below the market value of its non-own liabilities, it is **economically insolvent**. When market realities get reflected in the accounting balance of the bank, it becomes **accountingly insolvent**, and may have to disappear in legal and economic terms. --- class: clear, middle .font200[ <strong>Money Creation</strong> ] <hr> --- # Main Participants and Assumptions <br> **Main Participants** Central bank<br> System of commercial banks<br> Depositors<br> Bank credit borrowers -- **Assumptions of the Model** Required reserves: 10% of deposits<br> No excess reserves<br> No cash --- # Central Bank Buys Securities <centering> <br> <table class="none"> <tr> <td style="text-align: center; border-bottom: solid;" colspan="4">Central Bank </td> </tr> <tr> <td > Securities </td> <td style="text-align: right; border-right: solid; padding-right: 15px;"> +100.00 </td> <td> Reserves </td> <td style="text-align: right;"> +100.00</td> </tr> <tr > <td> </td> <td style="text-align: right; border-right: solid;"> </td> <td> </td> <td> </tr> </table> </centering> <br> <centering> <br> <table class="none"> <tr> <td style="text-align: center; border-bottom: solid;" colspan="4">Commercial Banks </td> </tr> <tr> <td width="25%"> Securities </td> <td style="text-align: right; border-right: solid; padding-right: 15px;" width="25%"> -100.00 </td> <td> </td> <td style="text-align: right;"> </td> </tr> <tr > <td> Excess reserves</td> <td style="text-align: right; border-right: solid;"><br>+100.00 </td> <td> </td> <td> </tr> </table> </centering> --- # .font90[Commercial Banks Lend Excess Reserves] <centering> <br> <table class="none"> <tr> <td style="text-align: center; border-bottom: solid;" colspan="4">Commercial Banks </td> </tr> <tr > <td> Excess reserves</td> <td style="text-align: right; border-right: solid;"><br>-100.00 </td> <td> </td> <td> </tr> <tr> <td width="25%"> Loans </td> <td style="text-align: right; border-right: solid; padding-right: 15px;" width="25%"> +100.00 </td> <td> </td> <td style="text-align: right;"> </td> </tr> </table> </centering> --- # Borrowers Deposit the Money in Banks <centering> <br> <table class="none"> <tr> <td style="text-align: center; border-bottom: solid;" colspan="4">Commercial Banks </td> </tr> <tr > <td> Required reserves</td> <td style="text-align: right; border-right: solid;"><br>+10.00 </td> <td> <br> Deposits </td> <td> <br> +100.00 </td> </tr> <tr> <td width="25%"> Excess reserves </td> <td style="text-align: right; border-right: solid; padding-right: 15px;" width="25%"> <br> +90.00 </td> <td> </td> <td style="text-align: right;"> </td> </tr> </table> </centering> --- # Banks Lend the Excess Reserves <centering> <br> <table class="none"> <tr> <td style="text-align: center; border-bottom: solid;" colspan="4">Commercial Banks </td> </tr> <tr > <td> Excess reserves</td> <td style="text-align: right; border-right: solid;"><br>-90.00 </td> <td> </td> <td> </tr> <tr> <td width="25%"> Loans </td> <td style="text-align: right; border-right: solid; padding-right: 15px;" width="25%"> +90.00 </td> <td> </td> <td style="text-align: right;"> </td> </tr> </table> </centering> --- # Borrowers Deposit the Money in Banks <centering> <br> <table class="none"> <tr> <td style="text-align: center; border-bottom: solid;" colspan="4">Commercial Banks </td> </tr> <tr > <td> Required reserves</td> <td style="text-align: right; border-right: solid;"><br>+9.00 </td> <td> <br> Deposits </td> <td> <br> +90.00 </td> </tr> <tr> <td width="25%"> Excess reserves </td> <td style="text-align: right; border-right: solid; padding-right: 15px;" width="25%"> <br> +81.00 </td> <td> </td> <td style="text-align: right;"> </td> </tr> </table> </centering> --- # Banks Lend the Excess Reserves <centering> <br> <table class="none"> <tr> <td style="text-align: center; border-bottom: solid;" colspan="4">Commercial Banks </td> </tr> <tr > <td> Excess reserves</td> <td style="text-align: right; border-right: solid;"><br>-81.00 </td> <td> </td> <td> </tr> <tr> <td width="25%"> Loans </td> <td style="text-align: right; border-right: solid; padding-right: 15px;" width="25%"> +81.00 </td> <td> </td> <td style="text-align: right;"> </td> </tr> </table> </centering> -- <br> And so forth... --- # Total Deposits (Money Supply) Created <br> `$$\begin{aligned} \sf \Delta D & \sf = 100 + 90 + 81 + \ldots \\ \\ & \sf = 100 \times \frac{1}{1-0.9} \\ \\ & \sf = 1,000 \\ \\ & \sf = \Delta R \times \frac{1}{rr} \\ \\ & \sf = \Delta R \times m \\ \\ \end{aligned}$$` --- # Money Supply and Monetary Base <br> The monetary base (MB) in an economy is the sum of the currency in circulation (C) and the reserves (R) of the banking system. -- Changes in the monetary base (MB) affect the money supply (M) through the process of issuing of new loans and deposit (D) multiplication. -- There is a limit to the amount of money (M) which can be created on the basis of a given monetary base (MB). -- The money multiplier (m) is the inverse of the reserve ratio (rr) and represents the link between monetary base (MB) and money supply (M). --- # Money Supply and Monetary Base <br> `$$\begin{aligned} \sf M & = \sf C + D \\ \\ \end{aligned}$$` Therefore, `$$\begin{aligned} \sf \Delta M & \sf = \Delta C + \Delta D \\ \\ & \sf = \Delta C + \frac{1}{rr} \times \Delta R \\ \\ & \sf = \Delta C + m \times \Delta R \\ \\ \end{aligned}$$` --- class: clear, middle .font200[ <strong>Case Study: USA </strong> ] <hr> --- # Monetary Base in USA <center> <iframe src="https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/graph-landing.php?g=1kV79&width=670&height=475" scrolling="no" frameborder="0" style="overflow:hidden; width:670px; height:525px;" allowTransparency="true" loading="lazy"></iframe> </center> --- # Money Supply in USA <center> <iframe src="https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/graph-landing.php?g=1kV8e&width=670&height=475" scrolling="no" frameborder="0" style="overflow:hidden; width:670px; height:525px;" allowTransparency="true" loading="lazy"></iframe> </center> --- # Currency in Circulation in USA <center> <iframe src="https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/graph-landing.php?g=1kV8u&width=670&height=475" scrolling="no" frameborder="0" style="overflow:hidden; width:670px; height:525px;" allowTransparency="true" loading="lazy"></iframe> </center> --- # Demand Deposits in USA <center> <iframe src="https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/graph-landing.php?g=1kV9f&width=670&height=475" scrolling="no" frameborder="0" style="overflow:hidden; width:670px; height:525px;" allowTransparency="true" loading="lazy"></iframe> </center> --- class: clear, middle .font200[ <strong>Central Banks</strong> ] <hr> --- # Motivation of the Central Bank <br> The legislator defines a mandate for the central bank and the motivation of the central bankers is the realization of this mandate. -- The realization of the legislative mandate is a result of setting and acting to achieve certain goals. -- The level of independence of action of the members of the governing body of the central bank is a matter of interesting historical development and of serious academic disputes. --- # Organization of BNB <br> Subject to its operation under a currency board regime, an emissions department is separated to operate as the currency board. The banking and bank supervision departments are more traditional. -- The rule for currency boards is that the monetary base cannot be larger than the international reserves of the central bank. -- The main governing body of BNB is the Governing Council, consisting of 7 members. Four of them are the Governor of BNB and the three deputy governors heading the three main departments, and they are elected by Parliament. The other three members are appointed by the President of Bulgaria. --- class: clear, middle .font200[ <strong>Monetary Policy</strong> ] <hr> --- # Open Market Operations Open market operations (OMO) are the most used monetary policy instrument, because they act immediately, transparently, can be finely tuned and swiftly reversed to correct errors. -- OMO are performed through purchasing and selling government securities, because: - The market for government securities is very liquid, at any moment the necessary operations can be executed; - Government securities are generally considered to be the lowest risk available; - The possibility of abuse when securities of private agents are traded is avoided. --- # Open Market Operations in Bulgaria <br> Under a currency board, OMO are banned, because the central bank is not permitted to: - Lend to its own government, even indirectly by buying its securities from other agents; - Lend to domestic economic agents by buying securities issued by them; - Purchase any securities denominated in the domestic currency. --- # Types and Mechanics of OMO Two types of OMO: - Dynamic – aiming at changing the monetary base; - Defensive – aiming at neutralizing (sterilizing) changes in the monetary base caused by sources not controlled by the CB. -- Mechanics of OMO: - A trading desk within the CB authorized to execute the operations; - Partners for OMO, pre-selected by the central bank; - Communication infrastructure for asking for and accepting offers and executing the transactions. --- # The Discount Rate The discount rate does not give the CB complete control over changes in the monetary base and is clumsier to use than OMO. It is used under a set of circumstances: - Providing liquidity to banks when they are facing liquidity difficulties – often in this situation there is a specific, higher (penalizing) discount rate; - The CB serving its function as lender of last resort – in periods of systemic crisis or panic, the CB can provide practically unlimited liquidity until the crisis or panic settles. NB: The function of a lender of last resort creates moral hazard and can cause banks to take on more risk during the good times. Hence, under a currency board this instrument is also not available! --- # Reserve Requirements This is the only instrument for the use of which the CB acts as a body of government power and not as an equal partner in a transaction. Problems: - Very powerful instrument, unavailable for fine tuning; - Its administrative nature precludes the possibility of changing it in small steps; - With time banks find ways to circumvent the limitations set by the requirement. NB: Under a currency board this is the only available instrument of monetary policy! --- # Questions? <br> <br> <br> <html> <head> <link rel="stylesheet" href="https://cdnjs.cloudflare.com/ajax/libs/font-awesome/4.7.0/css/font-awesome.min.css"> </head> <body> <i class="fa fa-question" style="font-size:240px; position: absolute; right: 250px; width: 300px;"></i> </body> </html> --- # Thank You! <br> <br> <br> <html> <head> <link rel="stylesheet" href="https://cdnjs.cloudflare.com/ajax/libs/font-awesome/4.7.0/css/font-awesome.min.css"> </head> <body> <i class="fa fa-smile-o" style="font-size:240px; position: absolute; right: 250px; width: 300px;"></i> </body> </html>